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Mar 02, 2026 23:11 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
17
Signals
4
Markets
62
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 62 38.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 31.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 48 25.5¢
BUY YES NYC 40-41°F 3/3 ES 47 29.5¢
BUY YES 40-41°F 3/3 ES 47 29.5¢
BUY YES 48-49°F 3/4 ES 42 60.0¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 36 34.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 48 25.5¢
BUY YES 48-49°F 3/4 ES 48 27.5¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 41 37.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 31.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 53.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 62 38.0¢
BUY NO 54-55°F 3/3 ES 55 36.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/4 ES 52 33.5¢
BUY NO 54-55°F 3/4 ES 48 37.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 45.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/4 ES 39 12.0¢
BUY NO 82-83°F 3/4 ES 35 31.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/4 ES 34 31.0¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 62 +62% 38.0¢
Seattle 54-55°F BUY NO 55 +36% 36.0¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 52 +68% 31.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 49 +84% 16.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 48 +74% 25.5¢
Following Day Mar 4
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 52 +66% 33.5¢
Seattle 54-55°F BUY NO 48 +37% 37.0¢
Chicago 48-49°F BUY YES 48 +72% 27.5¢
NYC 48-49°F BUY YES 42 +40% 60.0¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 39 +88% 12.0¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 62 -2.24" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.24" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.10" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.10" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 58 -1.03" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.03" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 54 +1.20" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.20" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 3" – 4" 53 -0.64" —
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 62 38.0¢
Forecast 53.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 54-55°F ES 55 36.0¢
Forecast 53.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 52 33.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 31.5¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 49 16.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 16.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 48 25.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 25.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 54-55°F ES 48 37.0¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 37.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 48-49°F ES 48 27.5¢
Forecast 48.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 27.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 53.0¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 53.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 40-41°F ES 47 29.5¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 29.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 48-49°F ES 42 60.0¢
Forecast 48.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 60.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 45.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 45.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 41 37.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 37.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 39 12.0¢
Forecast 79.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 12.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 36 34.0¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 82-83°F ES 35 31.5¢
Forecast 79.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 34 31.0¢
Forecast 79.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 21:56 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
14
Signals
4
Markets
62
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 62 33.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 34.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 48-49°F 3/4 ES 50 20.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY YES NYC 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 34.0¢
BUY YES 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 34.0¢
BUY YES 48-49°F 3/4 ES 42 59.5¢
BUY YES 48-49°F 3/4 ES 50 20.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 48 30.0¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 40 33.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 34.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 47 47.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 62 33.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/4 ES 52 35.5¢
BUY NO 54-55°F 3/4 ES 48 31.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 43.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/4 ES 39 15.0¢
BUY NO 82-83°F 3/4 ES 35 34.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 62 +66% 33.5¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 52 +66% 34.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 49 +84% 16.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 48 +70% 30.0¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 47 +47% 47.0¢
Following Day Mar 4
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 52 +64% 35.5¢
Chicago 48-49°F BUY YES 50 +80% 20.5¢
Seattle 54-55°F BUY NO 48 +32% 31.5¢
NYC 48-49°F BUY YES 42 +40% 59.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 39 +85% 15.0¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 62 -2.24" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.24" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 58 -1.05" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.05" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 3" – 4" 55 -0.53" —
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 62 33.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 34.5¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 52 35.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 48-49°F ES 50 20.5¢
Forecast 48.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 20.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 49 16.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 16.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 48 30.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 30.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 54-55°F ES 48 31.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 47 47.0¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 47.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 40-41°F ES 46 34.0¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 48-49°F ES 42 59.5¢
Forecast 48.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 59.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 43.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 43.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 40 33.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 33.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 39 15.0¢
Forecast 79.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 15.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 82-83°F ES 35 34.5¢
Forecast 79.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 21:09 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
14
Signals
4
Markets
62
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 38.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 53 30.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 18.0¢
BUY YES NYC 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 32.5¢
BUY YES 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 32.5¢
BUY YES 48-49°F 3/4 ES 42 61.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 18.0¢
BUY YES 48-49°F 3/4 ES 49 20.0¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 41 41.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 53 30.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 53.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 38.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/4 ES 52 33.5¢
BUY NO 54-55°F 3/4 ES 48 31.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 45.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/4 ES 39 15.0¢
BUY NO 82-83°F 3/4 ES 34 35.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +62% 38.5¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 53 +70% 30.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 49 +84% 16.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 49 +82% 18.0¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 48 +53% 53.0¢
Following Day Mar 4
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 52 +66% 33.5¢
Chicago 48-49°F BUY YES 49 +80% 20.0¢
Seattle 54-55°F BUY NO 48 +31% 31.0¢
NYC 48-49°F BUY YES 42 +39% 61.0¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 39 +85% 15.0¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 62 -2.24" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.24" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 59 -1.08" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.08" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 3" – 4" 55 -0.53" —
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 38.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 53 30.5¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 30.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 52 33.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 49 16.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 16.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 49 18.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 18.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 48-49°F ES 49 20.0¢
Forecast 48.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 20.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 53.0¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 53.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 54-55°F ES 48 31.0¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 40-41°F ES 46 32.5¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 48-49°F ES 42 61.0¢
Forecast 48.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 61.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 41 41.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 41.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 45.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 45.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 39 15.0¢
Forecast 79.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 15.0¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 82-83°F ES 34 35.5¢
Forecast 79.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/4
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 20:55 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
8
Signals
4
Markets
62
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 38.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 31.0¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 17.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 18.5¢
BUY YES NYC 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 34.5¢
BUY YES 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 34.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 17.0¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 41 38.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 31.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 54.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 38.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 18.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 44.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +62% 38.5¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 52 +69% 31.0¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 49 +83% 17.0¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 49 +82% 18.5¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 48 +54% 54.0¢
Following Day Mar 4
No tradeable signals for Mar 4
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 62 -2.24" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.24" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 59 -1.11" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.11" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 3" – 4" 55 -0.53" —
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 38.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 31.0¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 49 17.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 17.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 49 18.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 18.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 54.0¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 54.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 40-41°F ES 46 34.5¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 44.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 44.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 41 38.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 19:34 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
4
Markets
62
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 27.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 19.5¢
BUY YES NYC 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 34.5¢
BUY YES 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 34.5¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 37 30.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 19.5¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 41 39.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 27.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 53.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 16.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 44.0¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +60% 40.0¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 54 +73% 27.0¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 49 +84% 16.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 49 +80% 19.5¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 48 +54% 53.5¢
Following Day Mar 4
No tradeable signals for Mar 4
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 62 -2.20" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.20" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 59 -1.13" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.13" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 3" – 4" 52 -0.75" —
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 40.0¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 40.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 54 27.0¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 27.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 49 16.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 16.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 49 19.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 19.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 53.5¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 53.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 40-41°F ES 46 34.5¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 44.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 44.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 41 39.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 39.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 37 30.5¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 30.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 19:22 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
4
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 25.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 18.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 19.5¢
BUY YES NYC 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 32.5¢
BUY YES 40-41°F 3/3 ES 46 32.5¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 35 31.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 19.5¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 41 40.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 25.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 47 50.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 49 18.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 44.0¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +60% 40.0¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 54 +74% 25.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 49 +82% 18.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 49 +80% 19.5¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 47 +50% 50.5¢
Following Day Mar 4
No tradeable signals for Mar 4
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.14" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.14" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 56 -1.10" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.10" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 3" – 4" 48 -1.14" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.14" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 40.0¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 40.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 54 25.5¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 25.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 49 18.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 18.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 49 19.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 19.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 47 50.5¢
Forecast 82.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 50.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 40-41°F ES 46 32.5¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 41 40.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 40.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 44.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 44.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 35 31.0¢
Forecast 41.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 18:25 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
10
Signals
4
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 39.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 27.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 50 15.0¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 48 23.0¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 45 14.4¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 45 14.4¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 33 33.0¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 33 34.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 48 23.0¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 41 38.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 27.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 50.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 39.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 50 15.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 42.0¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +60% 39.5¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 54 +72% 27.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 50 +85% 15.0¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 48 +50% 50.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 48 +77% 23.0¢
Following Day Mar 4
No tradeable signals for Mar 4
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.09" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 57 -1.20" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.20" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 39.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 39.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 54 27.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 27.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 50 15.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 15.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 50.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 50.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 48 23.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 23.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 45 14.4¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 14.4¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 41 38.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 42.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 42.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 33 33.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 33.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 33 34.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 17:11 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
10
Signals
4
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 53 25.0¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 48 19.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 46 30.0¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 46 13.2¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 46 13.2¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 34 38.0¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 33 31.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 48 19.0¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/3 ES 41 39.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 53 25.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 50.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 46 30.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 40 39.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 58-59°F BUY NO 50 +52% 51.5¢
Seattle 56-57°F BUY NO 44 +33% 34.0¢
Miami 82-83°F BUY NO 41 +40% 43.7¢
NYC 32-33°F BUY NO 40 +21% 41.5¢
Miami 80-81°F BUY NO 38 +25% 50.0¢
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +60% 40.5¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 53 +75% 25.0¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 48 +50% 50.0¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 48 +81% 19.0¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 46 +70% 30.0¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.09" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 57 -1.24" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.24" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 40.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 40.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 53 25.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 25.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 50.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 50.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 48 19.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 19.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 46 30.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 30.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 46 13.2¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 13.2¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 41 39.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 39.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 40 39.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 39.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 34 38.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 33 31.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 15:57 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 39.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 51 33.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 31.5¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 13.4¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 34.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 13.4¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 34 38.5¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 33 32.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 34.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 51 33.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 47 45.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 39.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 31.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 43.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Miami 80-81°F BUY NO 47 +56% 62.5¢
Seattle 58-59°F BUY NO 43 +24% 49.0¢
Miami 82-83°F BUY NO 40 +32% 32.2¢
Seattle 56-57°F BUY NO 40 +16% 32.0¢
Chicago 40-41°F BUY NO 37 +36% 38.0¢
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +61% 39.0¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 51 +66% 33.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 47 +68% 31.5¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 47 +46% 45.5¢
NYC 42-43°F BUY YES 47 +87% 13.4¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.09" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 61 -1.38" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.38" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 39.0¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 39.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 51 33.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 47 31.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 47 45.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 45.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 47 13.4¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 13.4¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 47 34.5¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 43.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 43.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 34 38.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 33 32.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 15:48 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 34.0¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 12.2¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 32.0¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 34.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 12.2¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 33 36.5¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 33 33.0¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 34.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 34.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 46.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 40.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 32.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 45.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Miami 80-81°F BUY NO 47 +53% 60.0¢
Seattle 58-59°F BUY NO 42 +24% 48.5¢
Miami 82-83°F BUY NO 40 +32% 32.5¢
Seattle 56-57°F BUY NO 40 +16% 32.5¢
Chicago 40-41°F BUY NO 37 +36% 38.0¢
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +60% 40.0¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 52 +66% 34.0¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 48 +46% 46.5¢
NYC 42-43°F BUY YES 47 +88% 12.2¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 47 +68% 32.0¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.09" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 61 -1.38" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.38" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 40.0¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 40.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 34.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 46.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 46.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 47 12.2¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 12.2¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 47 32.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 47 34.5¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 45.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 45.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 33 36.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 33 33.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 33.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 15:38 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 38.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 33.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 31.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 35.5¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 46 12.6¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 46 12.6¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 33 36.5¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 33 31.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 35.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 33.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 46.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 38.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 31.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 45.0¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Miami 80-81°F BUY NO 45 +47% 53.5¢
Seattle 58-59°F BUY NO 42 +24% 48.5¢
Miami 82-83°F BUY NO 40 +32% 32.2¢
NYC 32-33°F BUY NO 40 +17% 41.5¢
Chicago 40-41°F BUY NO 37 +36% 38.0¢
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +62% 38.5¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 52 +66% 33.5¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 48 +46% 46.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 47 +68% 31.5¢
Chicago 42-43°F BUY YES 47 +64% 35.5¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.09" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 61 -1.38" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.38" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 38.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 33.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 46.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 46.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 47 31.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 47 35.5¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 46 12.6¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 12.6¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 45.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 45.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 33 36.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 33 31.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 14:51 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 39.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 34.5¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 32.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 35.5¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 46 15.4¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 46 15.4¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 34 37.5¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 33 33.0¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 47 35.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 34.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 47 42.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 61 39.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 32.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 41 41.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Miami 80-81°F BUY NO 46 +51% 57.5¢
Seattle 58-59°F BUY NO 43 +25% 49.5¢
Seattle 56-57°F BUY NO 40 +19% 35.0¢
Chicago 40-41°F BUY NO 36 +32% 33.5¢
Chicago 42-43°F BUY NO 35 +24% 40.0¢
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 61 +61% 39.0¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 52 +66% 34.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 47 +68% 32.5¢
Chicago 42-43°F BUY YES 47 +64% 35.5¢
Dallas 84-85°F BUY NO 47 +42% 42.5¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.09" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 61 -1.38" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.38" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 61 39.0¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 39.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 34.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 47 32.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 47 35.5¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 47 42.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 42.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 46 15.4¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 15.4¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 41 41.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 41.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 34 37.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 37.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 33 33.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 33.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 14:23 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 64 39.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 35.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 32.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 32.5¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 54 15.6¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 54 15.6¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 40 36.0¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 38 34.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 35.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 32.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 50 49.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 64 39.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 32.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 48 41.0¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 74 +80% 20.0¢
NYC 32-33°F BUY YES 69 +62% 37.5¢
Miami 80-81°F BUY NO 64 +60% 59.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 59 +88% 12.5¢
NYC 34-35°F BUY NO 57 +30% 30.5¢
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 64 +60% 39.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 56 +68% 32.5¢
Chicago 42-43°F BUY YES 55 +64% 35.5¢
NYC 42-43°F BUY YES 54 +84% 15.6¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 54 +68% 32.0¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.08" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.08" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.09" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.09" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 56 -1.32" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.32" vs climo — below-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 64 39.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 39.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 56 32.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 55 35.5¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 54 15.6¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 15.6¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 54 32.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 50 49.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 49.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 48 41.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 41.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 40 36.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 38 34.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 14:03 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 64 39.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 31.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 15.6¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 33.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 15.6¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 41 39.0¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 38 31.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 33.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 54 31.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 50 46.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 64 39.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 48 43.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 73 +78% 22.5¢
NYC 32-33°F BUY YES 70 +66% 33.5¢
Miami 80-81°F BUY NO 63 +54% 54.5¢
Chicago 44-45°F BUY YES 59 +88% 12.5¢
NYC 34-35°F BUY NO 57 +30% 30.5¢
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 64 +60% 39.5¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 56 +69% 31.0¢
NYC 42-43°F BUY YES 56 +84% 15.6¢
Chicago 42-43°F BUY YES 55 +66% 33.5¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 54 +69% 31.0¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.06" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.06" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.08" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.08" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.12" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.12" vs climo — above-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 55 -1.26" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.26" vs climo — below-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 64 39.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 39.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 56 31.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 56 15.6¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 15.6¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 55 33.5¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 54 31.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 50 46.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 46.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 48 43.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 43.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 41 39.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 39.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 38 31.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 13:49 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 65 38.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 55 28.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 30.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 54 16.4¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 54 16.4¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 41 39.5¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 38 31.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 30.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 55 28.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 50 47.0¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 65 38.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 48 42.5¢
Next Tradeable Day Mar 2
No tradeable signals for Mar 2
Following Day Mar 3
City Contract Dir ES Edge Price
Seattle 52-53°F BUY YES 65 +62% 38.5¢
Chicago 42-43°F BUY YES 56 +70% 30.0¢
Miami 78-79°F BUY YES 56 +69% 31.0¢
Dallas 82-83°F BUY YES 55 +72% 28.5¢
NYC 42-43°F BUY YES 54 +84% 16.4¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.04" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.04" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.08" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.08" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.13" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.13" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 54 -1.18" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.18" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 65 38.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 56 30.0¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 30.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 56 31.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 55 28.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 28.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 54 16.4¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 16.4¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 50 47.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 47.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 48 42.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 42.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 41 39.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 39.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 38 31.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 13:17 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 65 38.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 56 32.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 30.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 16.4¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 16.4¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 41 38.5¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 38 32.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 30.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 56 32.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 51 52.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 65 38.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 48 40.5¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.00" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.00" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.07" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.07" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.13" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.13" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 54 -1.08" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.08" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 65 38.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 56 30.0¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 30.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 56 31.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 56 32.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 55 16.4¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 16.4¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 51 52.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 52.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 48 40.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 40.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 41 38.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 38 32.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 13:16 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
9
Signals
2
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Seattle 52-53°F 3/3 ES 65 38.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 56 32.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 30.0¢
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY YES NYC 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 16.4¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 55 16.4¢
BUY NO 40-41°F 3/3 ES 41 38.5¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 38 32.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 56 30.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 56 32.5¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 51 52.5¢
BUY YES 52-53°F 3/3 ES 65 38.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 48 40.5¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -2.01" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -2.01" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.08" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.08" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 57 -1.15" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.15" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.13" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.13" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Seattle — 52-53°F ES 65 38.5¢
Forecast 52.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 42-43°F ES 56 30.0¢
Forecast 43.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 30.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 56 31.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 56 32.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 55 16.4¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 16.4¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 51 52.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 52.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 48 40.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 40.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 40-41°F ES 41 38.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 38 32.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 06:03 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
16
Signals
8
Markets
68
Top Score
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/2 ES 67 28.5¢
BUY YES NYC 32-33°F 3/2 ES 64 30.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 60 17.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 25.0¢
BUY YES Seattle 58-59°F 3/2 ES 52 43.0¢
BUY YES 32-33°F 3/2 ES 64 30.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 49 13.6¢
BUY NO 38-39°F 3/3 ES 37 31.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 60 17.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/2 ES 57 22.5¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/2 ES 46 40.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 25.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 48 53.5¢
BUY YES 58-59°F 3/2 ES 52 43.0¢
BUY YES 50-51°F 3/3 ES 50 23.5¢
BUY NO 56-57°F 3/2 ES 45 38.0¢
BUY NO 52-53°F 3/3 ES 45 33.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/2 ES 67 28.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/2 ES 56 42.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 55 33.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 47 39.5¢
Monthly Precip Markets NOAA-only · not tracked in hit-rate yet
City Month Most Likely Strike ES Avg vs Climo YES Price
Miami 2026-03 < 1" 68 -1.96" —
⚑ Dry season — market may overweight precip probability⚑ DRY BIAS -1.96" vs climo — below-normal signal
San Francisco 2026-03 < 1" 62 -3.06" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -3.06" vs climo — below-normal signal
Chicago 2026-03 1" – 2" 61 -1.04" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.04" vs climo — below-normal signal
Seattle 2026-03 4" – 5" 56 +1.14" —
⚑ Peak wet season — cumulative totals may be underweighted⚑ WET BIAS +1.14" vs climo — above-normal signal
NYC 2026-03 2" – 3" 55 -1.40" —
⚑ DRY BIAS -1.40" vs climo — below-normal signal
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 67 28.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 28.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 32-33°F ES 64 30.5¢
Forecast 33.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 30.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 60 17.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 17.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 57 22.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 22.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 56 42.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 42.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 55 33.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 25.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 25.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 58-59°F ES 52 43.0¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 43.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 50-51°F ES 50 23.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 23.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 49 13.6¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 13.6¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 48 53.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 53.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 47 39.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 39.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 46 40.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 40.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 56-57°F ES 45 38.0¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 52-53°F ES 45 33.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 33.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 38-39°F ES 37 31.0¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 31.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 05:17 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
15
Signals
8
Markets
65
Top Score
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/2 ES 65 34.0¢
BUY YES NYC 32-33°F 3/2 ES 63 35.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 58 18.5¢
BUY YES Seattle 58-59°F 3/2 ES 52 41.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 26.0¢
BUY YES 32-33°F 3/2 ES 63 35.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 49 13.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 58 18.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/2 ES 55 23.0¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/2 ES 46 39.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 52 26.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 47 51.5¢
BUY YES 58-59°F 3/2 ES 52 41.0¢
BUY YES 50-51°F 3/3 ES 52 24.0¢
BUY NO 52-53°F 3/3 ES 45 34.5¢
BUY NO 56-57°F 3/2 ES 44 33.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/2 ES 65 34.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/2 ES 57 43.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 56 31.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 48 40.0¢
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 65 34.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 32-33°F ES 63 35.5¢
Forecast 33.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 58 18.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 18.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 57 43.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 43.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 56 31.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 55 23.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 23.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 58-59°F ES 52 41.0¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 41.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 52 26.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 26.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 50-51°F ES 52 24.0¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 24.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 49 13.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 13.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 48 40.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 40.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 47 51.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 51.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 46 39.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 39.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 52-53°F ES 45 34.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 56-57°F ES 44 33.0¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 33.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 04:03 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
15
Signals
8
Markets
100
Top Score
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/2 ES 57 24.0¢
BUY YES Seattle 58-59°F 3/2 ES 55 39.5¢
BUY YES NYC 32-33°F 3/2 ES 52 38.5¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 50 19.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 44 24.0¢
BUY YES 32-33°F 3/2 ES 52 38.5¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 42 13.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 50 19.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/2 ES 46 28.5¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/2 ES 39 38.0¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 44 24.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 41 56.0¢
BUY YES 58-59°F 3/2 ES 55 39.5¢
BUY YES 50-51°F 3/3 ES 53 21.5¢
BUY NO 52-53°F 3/3 ES 48 35.5¢
BUY NO 56-57°F 3/2 ES 47 35.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/2 ES 57 24.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/2 ES 49 46.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 31.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 40 36.0¢
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 57 24.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 24.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 58-59°F ES 55 39.5¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 39.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 50-51°F ES 53 21.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 21.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 32-33°F ES 52 38.5¢
Forecast 33.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 50 19.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 19.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 49 46.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 46.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 52-53°F ES 48 35.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 47 31.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 56-57°F ES 47 35.0¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 35.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 46 28.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 28.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 44 24.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 24.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 42 13.5¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 13.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 41 56.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 56.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 40 36.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 39 38.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 38.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 01:48 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
30
Signals
8
Markets
100
Top Score
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/2 ES 57 27.5¢
BUY YES Seattle 58-59°F 3/2 ES 55 39.0¢
BUY YES NYC 32-33°F 3/2 ES 54 34.0¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 18.0¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 44 23.0¢
BUY YES 32-33°F 3/2 ES 54 34.0¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 42 13.9¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 18.0¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/2 ES 48 24.5¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/2 ES 38 36.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 44 23.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 41 57.5¢
BUY YES 58-59°F 3/2 ES 55 39.0¢
BUY YES 50-51°F 3/3 ES 53 25.5¢
BUY NO 52-53°F 3/3 ES 48 34.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/2 ES 57 27.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/2 ES 50 49.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 31.5¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 40 35.5¢
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 57 27.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 27.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 58-59°F ES 55 39.0¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 39.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 32-33°F ES 54 34.0¢
Forecast 33.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 50-51°F ES 53 25.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 25.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 50 49.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 49.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 49 18.0¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 18.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 48 24.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 24.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 52-53°F ES 48 34.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 47 31.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 31.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 44 23.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 23.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 42 13.9¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 13.9¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 41 57.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 57.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 40 35.5¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 38 36.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 02, 2026 01:37 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami · Atlanta
30
Signals
8
Markets
100
Top Score
BUY YES Miami 78-79°F 3/2 ES 58 19.0¢
BUY YES Seattle 58-59°F 3/2 ES 54 43.0¢
BUY YES NYC 32-33°F 3/2 ES 54 34.0¢
BUY YES Chicago 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 20.5¢
BUY YES Dallas 82-83°F 3/3 ES 44 23.0¢
BUY YES 32-33°F 3/2 ES 54 34.0¢
BUY YES 42-43°F 3/3 ES 42 13.8¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/3 ES 49 20.5¢
BUY YES 44-45°F 3/2 ES 48 24.5¢
BUY NO 42-43°F 3/2 ES 38 36.5¢
BUY YES 82-83°F 3/3 ES 44 23.0¢
BUY NO 84-85°F 3/3 ES 42 59.5¢
BUY YES 58-59°F 3/2 ES 54 43.0¢
BUY YES 50-51°F 3/3 ES 53 25.0¢
BUY NO 52-53°F 3/3 ES 48 34.5¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/2 ES 58 19.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/2 ES 48 49.0¢
BUY YES 78-79°F 3/3 ES 47 34.0¢
BUY NO 80-81°F 3/3 ES 40 36.0¢
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 58 19.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 19.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 58-59°F ES 54 43.0¢
Forecast 58.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 43.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 32-33°F ES 54 34.0¢
Forecast 33.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Seattle — 50-51°F ES 53 25.0¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 25.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 49 20.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 20.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 48 49.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 49.0¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Chicago — 44-45°F ES 48 24.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 24.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Seattle — 52-53°F ES 48 34.5¢
Forecast 51.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: HIGH  ·  Model agreement: NEUTRAL   ⚠ checklist incomplete
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Miami — 78-79°F ES 47 34.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 34.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES Dallas — 82-83°F ES 44 23.0¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 23.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Dallas — 84-85°F ES 42 59.5¢
Forecast 83.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 59.5¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY YES NYC — 42-43°F ES 42 13.8¢
Forecast 42.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 13.8¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Miami — 80-81°F ES 40 36.0¢
Forecast 78.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.0¢  ·  Date 3/3
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO Chicago — 42-43°F ES 38 36.5¢
Forecast 44.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 36.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: LOW  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 19:36 UTC
NYC
3
Signals
4
Markets
86
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 32-33°F 3/2 ES 50 38.5¢
BUY YES 32-33°F 3/2 ES 50 38.5¢
BUY NO 30-31°F 3/2 ES 41 34.5¢
BUY YES NYC — 32-33°F ES 50 38.5¢
Forecast 33.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 38.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 30-31°F ES 41 34.5¢
Forecast 33.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 34.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 16:18 UTC
NYC
2
Signals
3
Markets
64
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 32-33°F 3/2 ES 50 35.5¢
BUY YES 32-33°F 3/2 ES 50 35.5¢
BUY NO 30-31°F 3/2 ES 42 32.5¢
BUY YES NYC — 32-33°F ES 50 35.5¢
Forecast 32.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 35.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
BUY NO NYC — 30-31°F ES 42 32.5¢
Forecast 32.0°F  ·  NOAA 0%  ·  Market 32.5¢  ·  Date 3/2
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 💧 LOW LIQUIDITY sub-market — use event-level volume
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 08:32 UTC
NYC
3
Signals
2
Markets
52
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 38-39°F 3/1 ES 45 47.5¢
BUY YES 38-39°F 3/1 ES 45 47.5¢
BUY YES NYC — 38-39°F ES 45 47.5¢
Forecast 38.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 47.5¢  ·  Date 3/1
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 08:26 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami
4
Signals
1
Markets
44
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 56.0¢
BUY YES 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 56.0¢
BUY YES NYC — 38-39°F ES 42 56.0¢
Forecast 38.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 56.0¢  ·  Date 3/1
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 08:23 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami
2
Signals
1
Markets
43
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 38-39°F 3/1 ES 41 57.0¢
BUY YES 38-39°F 3/1 ES 41 57.0¢
BUY YES NYC — 38-39°F ES 41 57.0¢
Forecast 39.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 57.0¢  ·  Date 3/1
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 🕛 MIDNIGHT CARRYOVER — check prior day's late temps
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 08:22 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami
3
Signals
1
Markets
48
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 52.5¢
BUY YES 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 52.5¢
BUY YES NYC — 38-39°F ES 42 52.5¢
Forecast 39.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 52.5¢  ·  Date 3/1
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 🕛 MIDNIGHT CARRYOVER — check prior day's late temps
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 08:11 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami
2
Signals
1
Markets
48
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 52.5¢
BUY YES 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 52.5¢
BUY YES NYC — 38-39°F ES 42 52.5¢
Forecast 38.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 52.5¢  ·  Date 3/1
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 🕛 MIDNIGHT CARRYOVER — check prior day's late temps
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness
Mar 01, 2026 08:08 UTC
NYC · Chicago · Dallas · Seattle · Miami
3
Signals
1
Markets
48
Top Score
BUY YES NYC 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 52.5¢
BUY YES 38-39°F 3/1 ES 42 52.5¢
BUY YES NYC — 38-39°F ES 42 52.5¢
Forecast 38.0°F  ·  NOAA 100.0%  ·  Market 52.5¢  ·  Date 3/1
Confidence: MODERATE  ·  Model agreement: LOW   ✅ ALL CLEAR
⚑ 🌙 OVERNIGHT HIGH — market may misprice timing
⚑ 🕛 MIDNIGHT CARRYOVER — check prior day's late temps
⚑ ⏰ EXPIRES SOON — markets may halt day-of
⚑ 💰 STRONG EDGE — verify NOAA data freshness